First of all, we need to answer the question of whether it is worth it to resign Eriksson. According to Hockey-Reference.com, here are the 10 most similar players to Eriksson through nine years of their respective careers and their adjusted points per game after their ninth season:
Loui Eriksson presents an unpleasant predicament for the Bruins management. Photo credit: Brian Babineau, Getty Images. Loui Eriksson is a key part of the Bruins offence right now, especially with Patrice Bergeron's injury against Winnipeg. But since arriving in Boston, he has scored 0.64 goals per 60, 7th on the team among qualifying forwards. His 1.71 points per 60 minutes is also 7th among Bruins forwards, though his 20 goals in 5v5 situations are 5th. While Loui Eriksson provides offence at a very good pace and his TACF% has been a stellar 54.71% in Boston, he isn't irreplaceable. First of all, we need to answer the question of whether it is worth it to resign Eriksson. According to Hockey-Reference.com, here are the 10 most similar players to Eriksson through nine years of their respective careers and their adjusted points per game after their ninth season: On average, Eriksson's comparables played five more seasons after their 9th season, seasons 10-14 looked like this for the average Eriksson comparable: This fits in with previous research on how players age. Below is a graph with a red dot indicating Loui Eriksson sits on Eric Tulsky's age curve: Of course, Eriksson is better than his comparables on average by about one standard deviation, but that's not a statistically significant difference. I'm not saying that Eriksson is absolutely going to get worse - it's a definite possibility that he can buck the trend for at least a few years - but the Bruins should look into selling Eriksson's stock while it's high.
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AuthorHello, My name is D1234. I'm a diehard Bruins fan who really likes hockey and hockey stats. Since when I get into something I express my liking for it by researching that something, I started to learn the lingo of "advanced stats", which eventually led to the creation of this site. BlogrollBoston Globe Hockey
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